This seems to be one of the hottest topics on most people’s minds these days, so let me take a minute or two and fill you in on the situation in our Kitchener/Waterloo (and South-Western Ontario) market. I can only give you my opinion of course, but it’s going to be an informative one based on facts and based on discussions I’ve had with other professionals in the last few months.
First and foremost, if you hear or read “Sales are down” or “the Sales in (fill in your city here) are down 35% over last year”, it does NOT mean that the value (or prices) of your home has decreased. Not 35% or at all, depending on your particular location. All it means is that the number of sales (how many homes have sold) in one month (October for example) compared to the number of sales of the same month last year. There is so much propaganda out there to scare the public it’s unreal. Disaster headlines are what sell, be it on Television or in the Newspaper, and those “analysts” who make the biggest deal about what is happening (or what WILL happen) are the ones who make the headlines! Lastly, please don’t confuse the US Market with the Canadian Real Estate market. 80% of the things that are going on in the US don’t apply to Canadians, mainly because of the Mortgage rules and regulations, which has resulted in their downwards spiral of the economy and housing market and prices.
In the November edition of the Kitchener/Waterloo Real Estate Board monthly statistics letter (which every Realtor receives) there were some very interesting points.
”The number of residential sales for the cities of Kitchener-Waterloo dipped to pre 2005 values for the month of October, a decrease of 14% in sales (the amount of homes sold) over October 2007.
“This activity is not surprising”. Reports Karen Shartun, President of the Kitchener-Waterloo real Estate Board, “the last three years have simply been exceptional, and the market activity is slowly but surely working towards balanced numbers. While sales are down, the volume of new listings is up along with the average sale price, all of which contribute to a healthy market”.
The average sale price for all residential properties (in October, 2008) was $261,900 with single detached homes averaging $311,000.
“Our market is healthy”, says Shartun “and weather the dip in sales is a reflection of pre-election jitters or stock market instability from south of the border, or an indicator of a return to a more balanced market, will be determined over the coming months”.
Personally I think the Canadian public is just a little scared at the moment. There is uncertainty about the economy and certainly some uncertainty about the immediate future.
Lastly, I want to fill you our local Mortgage Interest Rates. The prime rate is 4.75% (0.75% higher then what it was 6 months ago) and a typical fixed 5 year rate is around 5.5% (0.5% higher then what it was 6 months ago). For anyone who has been on top of Mortgage Rates, this is not in any way alarming. The 5 year fixed rate was as high as 6.0% a year ago (2007) and it has remained steady for the past few years, and is not expected to change much in the next 12 months.
As always, feel free to call or email Teresa or myself if you have any questions or comments about your home or particular situation.
Flav Onsen
Sales Representative
Royal LePage Wolle Realty